{"id":517301,"date":"2026-02-22T08:15:49","date_gmt":"2026-02-22T14:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/billieparkernoticias.com\/?p=517301"},"modified":"2026-02-22T08:15:49","modified_gmt":"2026-02-22T14:15:49","slug":"estado-de-la-nueva-reforma-electoral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fronteraveracruz.com\/?p=517301","title":{"rendered":"Estado de la nueva Reforma Electoral ."},"content":{"rendered":"

IMPRONTA<\/strong><\/p>\n

\/ Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo \/<\/strong><\/p>\n

El balance preliminar de la reforma electoral de Claudia Sheinbaum est\u00e1 pol\u00edticamente debilitada y terminar\u00e1, si avanza, siendo recortada o \u201cdescafeinada\u201d, en buena medida por la resistencia de PVEM y PT a perder plurinominales y financiamiento, m\u00e1s que por la oposici\u00f3n formal.<\/p>\n

El contenido central de la iniciativa que se filtr\u00f3, y que despu\u00e9s el propio l\u00edder cameral Ricardo Monreal confirm\u00f3 que es real, pero no definitiva<\/em><\/strong>, presenta ejes ya identificados: reducci\u00f3n de legisladores de representaci\u00f3n proporcional (eliminaci\u00f3n o redise\u00f1o de pluris), disminuci\u00f3n del financiamiento p\u00fablico a partidos, abaratamiento de elecciones y reorganizaci\u00f3n de autoridades electorales (fortalecer un INE nacional y revisar losOPLE estatales).<\/p>\n

La narrativa presidencial enfatiza tres ideas: \u201celecciones menos costosas\u201d, \u201cfin del control cupular de listas plurinominales\u201d y \u201cmantener la autonom\u00eda del INE\u201d, aun con menos consejeros y presupuesto.<\/p>\n

Las presiones y \u201crebeld\u00eda\u201d de PVEM y PT, han expresado abiertamente su desacuerdo con: El recorte fuerte de financiamiento p\u00fablico a partidos.<\/p>\n

La eliminaci\u00f3n o reducci\u00f3n dr\u00e1stica de diputaciones y senadur\u00edas plurinominales, donde ambos concentran buena parte de sus esca\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

En al menos una mesa de negociaci\u00f3n, las dirigencias de PVEM y PT se levantaron cuando la dirigente de Morena Luisa Mar\u00eda Alcalde ech\u00f3 abajo un acuerdo previo para mantener los pluris y exigi\u00f3 un recorte mayor al financiamiento, lo que volvi\u00f3 a \u201catorar\u201d la reforma.\u200b<\/p>\n

An\u00e1lisis pol\u00edticos coinciden en que, para estos partidos, aceptar la reforma en sus t\u00e9rminos originales ser\u00eda una especie de \u201charakiri<\/em><\/strong>\u201d: sin recursos y sin pluris, su peso parlamentario y su capacidad de negociaci\u00f3n se desploman.<\/p>\n

Los efectos de estas presiones en el balance de la reforma, lo es la p\u00e9rdida de margen de maniobra de Sheinbaum: Necesita al PVEM y al PT para la mayor\u00eda calificada, por lo que no puede imponer sin costo la versi\u00f3n m\u00e1s dura de la reforma: eliminar 200 plurinominales y recortar fuertemente el financiamiento<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

La Secretar\u00eda de Gobernaci\u00f3n ha tenido que entrar como operadora de contenci\u00f3n, intentando conciliar con aliados que, por primera vez en la 4T, se comportan como \u201caliados rebeldes<\/em>\u201d y no como aliados disciplinados.<\/p>\n

Ante este escenario el probable resultado, diversas cr\u00f3nicas y fuentes internas plantean que la reforma que eventualmente se apruebe ser\u00e1 acotada: m\u00e1s cercana a una reducci\u00f3n parcial de pluris, ajustes moderados al financiamiento y cambios administrativos en INE\/OPLE, que a un redise\u00f1o radical del sistema de representaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

El costo pol\u00edtico de romper con PVEM y PT en este tema ser\u00eda muy alto para la 4T, de cara a la negociaci\u00f3n del T\u2011MEC y a las intermedias de 2027, lo que incentiva un arreglo que preserve su supervivencia como socios electorales.<\/p>\n

El estado actual y escenarios de la iniciativa, la presidenta ha reiterado que enviar\u00e1 la reforma al Congreso en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas, pero los propios operadores legislativos (por ejemplo, Monreal) reconocen que no hay acuerdo interno sobre el tema de plurinominales ni sobre el tama\u00f1o del recorte al financiamiento.<\/p>\n

El PT y PVEM, pese a reafirmar p\u00fablicamente su \u201clealtad\u201d a Sheinbaum, condicionan su apoyo a que se preserve una base de pluris y recursos que les permita seguir siendo jugadores relevantes.<\/p>\n

Los escenarios probables son una \u00a0reforma negociada: reducci\u00f3n parcial de pluris, financiamiento recortado pero no al nivel planteado originalmente, y cambios m\u00e1s administrativos que estructurales en la autoridad electoral.<\/p>\n

Reforma m\u00ednima o diferida: si el bloqueo de PVEM y PT persiste, es posible que la reforma se fragmente o se posponga, priorizando otros temas de la agenda constitucional de la 4T.<\/p>\n

En s\u00edntesis, el balance pol\u00edtico es que la iniciativa, concebida como una reforma estructural que recortara pluris y recursos, se top\u00f3 con el veto f\u00e1ctico de los propios aliados de la 4T; hoy funciona m\u00e1s como moneda de negociaci\u00f3n intra\u2011coalici\u00f3n que como proyecto tecnocr\u00e1tico de redise\u00f1o institucional, y su alcance final depender\u00e1 de cu\u00e1nto est\u00e9 dispuesta la Presidencia a ceder para conservar alineados a PVEM y PT rumbo al 2027.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Comente u opine a:
\ncacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n

Maestro en Comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana. Form\u00f3 parte\u00a0 del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico en comunicaci\u00f3n en la Ibero y en la Universidad An\u00e1huac, campus norte CDMX.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

IMPRONTA \/ Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo \/ El balance preliminar de la reforma electoral de Claudia Sheinbaum est\u00e1 pol\u00edticamente debilitada y terminar\u00e1, si avanza, siendo recortada o \u201cdescafeinada\u201d, en buena medida por la resistencia de PVEM y PT a perder plurinominales y financiamiento, m\u00e1s que por la oposici\u00f3n formal. El contenido central de la iniciativa…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":514765,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15607,114,18],"tags":[10126,119],"class_list":["post-517301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-impronta","category-ellos-columnistas","category-noticias-de-ultima-hora","tag-carlos-miguel-acosta-bravo","tag-reforma-electoral"],"yoast_head":"\nEstado de la nueva Reforma Electoral . - Frontera Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fronteraveracruz.com\/?p=517301\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Estado de la nueva Reforma Electoral . - Frontera Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IMPRONTA \/ Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo \/ El balance preliminar de la reforma electoral de Claudia Sheinbaum est\u00e1 pol\u00edticamente debilitada y terminar\u00e1, si avanza, siendo recortada o \u201cdescafeinada\u201d, en buena medida por la resistencia de PVEM y PT a perder plurinominales y financiamiento, m\u00e1s que por la oposici\u00f3n formal. 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