{"id":471988,"date":"2025-04-13T09:01:14","date_gmt":"2025-04-13T15:01:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/billieparkernoticias.com\/?p=471988"},"modified":"2025-04-13T09:01:14","modified_gmt":"2025-04-13T15:01:14","slug":"el-factor-interno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fronteraveracruz.com\/?p=471988","title":{"rendered":"El Factor Interno."},"content":{"rendered":"

*<\/p>\n

\/Li\u00e9bano S\u00e1enz\/<\/p>\n

En memoria de Olegario V\u00e1zquez Ra\u00f1a, hombre de congruencias.<\/em><\/p>\n

La incertidumbre es el signo de nuestros tiempos. Sorprende que esta vez provenga del pa\u00eds m\u00e1s poderoso del mundo. El intento por modificar profundamente la relaci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos con el resto del mundo ha precipitado una atm\u00f3sfera semejante a la de la pandemia.<\/p>\n

Aunque la recuperaci\u00f3n de los mercados sugiere una posible vuelta a la normalidad que imperaba, nada volver\u00e1 a ser igual. La p\u00e9rdida de confianza en EEUU tomar\u00e1 tiempo en repararse. Su debilitado liderazgo es una lamentable p\u00e9rdida para el mundo democr\u00e1tico, resultado de la decisi\u00f3n de romper con el orden global construido tras la Segunda Guerra Mundial.<\/p>\n

La incertidumbre econ\u00f3mica se convierte en el entorno ideal para la especulaci\u00f3n financiera. Los m\u00e1s h\u00e1biles y con mayores recursos son<\/span>\u00a0quienes tienen m\u00e1s posibilidades de prevalecer mediante la cercan\u00eda al poder pol\u00edtico. Las empresas buscan trato preferencial. El presidente Trump ha abierto esa posibilidad. Una gran oportunidad para la industria automotriz y sus asociadas, incluso para Tesla; en el \u00e1mbito de las telecomunicaciones, para Apple e Intel. Sin embargo, estas compa\u00f1\u00edas contin\u00faan enfrentando p\u00e9rdidas a pesar de la suspensi\u00f3n temporal en la aplicaci\u00f3n de aranceles, ya que dependen de proveedores chinos. En el esquema actual, solo pueden salvarse mediante la discrecionalidad del gobierno para eximirlas del gravamen.<\/p>\n

Todav\u00eda no se dimensiona en su real magnitud, pero M\u00e9xico est\u00e1 pagando un precio alto. Si se revisa la recaudaci\u00f3n por los aranceles, China ha contribuido con 4,800 millones de d\u00f3lares, seguida por M\u00e9xico con 2,000 millones. Aunque buena parte de ese costo recae en los consumidores estadounidenses, las exportaciones mexicanas tambi\u00e9n son castigadas, lo que implica una p\u00e9rdida de competitividad.<\/p>\n

Es comprensible que, ante este panorama, las autoridades mexicanas intenten generar confianza, pero la realidad se impone con el tipo de cambio del d\u00f3lar en la frontera de los 21 pesos y no de los 17 registrados el d\u00eda de las elecciones, as\u00ed como con el escenario de recesi\u00f3n. La incertidumbre proviene del exterior; habr\u00eda que construir certezas dentro del pa\u00eds. Dividir a los mexicanos, debilitar a las instituciones y al estado de derecho, no ayuda.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
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<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

* \/Li\u00e9bano S\u00e1enz\/ En memoria de Olegario V\u00e1zquez Ra\u00f1a, hombre de congruencias. La incertidumbre es el signo de nuestros tiempos. Sorprende que esta vez provenga del pa\u00eds m\u00e1s poderoso del mundo. 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